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Single-FamilyDecember 1, 2022

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Forecast

  • Forecast | October 21, 2022

    Quarterly Forecast: Rapidly Rising Rates & Declining Demand Driving a Housing Market Slowdown

    Mortgage interest rates have increased at the fastest rate since the early 1980s. The increase in rates has been driven by a general increase in interest rates throughout the economy, which in turn have been primarily driven by inflation. More

    2022 Q4 Snapshot
  • Forecast | July 20, 2022

    Quarterly Forecast: Market Slowdown will Continue as High Rates and Prices Exacerbate Affordability Challenges

    Rising mortgage rates and house price appreciation will continue driving a slowdown in the single-family purchase market. Homebuyer demand will moderate, rebalancing from the hot housing market of the last two years to a more normal pace of activity. More

    Quarterly Forecast: 2022 Q3 Snapshot
  • Forecast | April 18, 2022

    Quarterly Forecast: The Purchase Market Will Remain Solid Even as Mortgage Rates Rise

    Rising rates will lead to moderation in homebuyer demand and house price appreciation. But overall, the housing market will remain a bright spot in the U.S. economy. More

    Quarterly Economic Forecast 2022 Q2 Snapshot
  • Forecast | January 21, 2022

    Quarterly Forecast: The Housing Market Expected to Remain Stable Despite Rising Rates and Cooling Price Growth

    As the U.S. economy ended 2021 on firm ground, economic growth is expected to be slower in 2022 amid uncertainty and challenges resulting from the ongoing health crisis. More

  • Forecast | October 15, 2021

    Quarterly Forecast: Strong Housing Market Expected to Persist Notwithstanding Rising Mortgage Rates and Continued High Home Prices

    While the U.S economy has reached above its pre-pandemic peak with real GDP growth of over 6% annualized rate in the first two quarters of 2021, the economy still has space to grow. More

  • Forecast | July 15, 2021

    Quarterly Forecast: Housing Market Expected to Remain Strong Despite Major Supply Shortage and Historically High House Prices Across the U.S. Slowing Sales

    The latest employment report from the U.S. Labor Department showed that while the U.S. economy added 850,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in June, it is still down 6.8 million jobs from February 2020. Job openings have surged to a record high of 9.2 million, and as the economy continues to reopen, we expect the economy to continue to mend. Consensus forecasts put full year U.S. Real GDP growth over 6% in 2021, which would help to close the large gap between the current level of economic activity and potential output. More

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Opinions, estimates, forecasts, and other views contained in this document are those of Freddie Mac’s economists and other researchers, do not necessarily represent the views of Freddie Mac or its management, and should not be construed as indicating Freddie Mac’s business prospects or expected results. Although the authors attempt to provide reliable, useful information, they do not guarantee that the information or other content in this document is accurate, current or suitable for any particular purpose. All content is subject to change without notice. All content is provided on an “as is” basis, with no warranties of any kind whatsoever. Information from this document may be used with proper attribution. Alteration of this document or its content is strictly prohibited. ©2023 by Freddie Mac.

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